2022 Oscars Predictions Hub: All Awards Categories (ARCHIVED)

Predictions for the 94th Academy Awards ceremony, in all categories – also including column archives and Variety Awards Circuit Podcast episodes.

Visit the new 2023 Oscars Prediction Hub

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

Welcome to THE HUB, the main page to access all the individual prediction categories and commentary for the upcoming Academy Awards, Emmys and more. You can also visit the archives of previous awards years.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVE
Link to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB

UPDATED: March 24, 2022

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)

It’s all come down to this. Ninety-four years of Oscar history have been digested and cross-examined to help yield the critical answer: Which films and performances will win Academy Awards on March 27? All links to individual pages are down below.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

• Best Picture
• Best Director
• Best Actor
• Best Actress
• Best Supporting Actor
• Best Supporting Actress
• Best Original Screenplay
• Best Adapted Screenplay
• Best Animated Feature
• Best Production Design
• Best Cinematography
• Best Costume Design
• Best Film Editing
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling
• Best Sound
• Best Visual Effects
• Best Original Score
• Best Original Song
• Best Documentary Feature
• Best International Feature
• Best Animated Short 
• Best Documentary Short 
• Best Live-Action Short 

Awards Circuit (Film Column) Archives

• Final Oscar Predictions 2022: Why ‘CODA’ Will Win Best Picture – (March 24, 2022)
• Oscar Nominees By the Numbers – (March 24, 2022)
• How Will Packer Plans to Revive the Oscars: ‘This Is The Year’ – (March 23, 2022)
• ‘CODA’ Surge Might Prove Oscars Are Looking for Joy During Pandemic and War – (March 22, 2022)
• The Oscar Race Is Extremely Loud, and Incredibly Too Close to Call – (March 20, 2022)
• Steven Spielberg Says He Won’t Direct Another Musical After ‘West Side Story’ at PGA Awards Breakfast – (March 19, 2022)
• 6 Oscar Records That Could Be Broken This Year – (March 19, 2022)
• Final Oscar Voting Begins: All Eyes on PGA Awards to Tell Us What Film Will Win Best Picture – (March 17, 2022)
• 31 Actors That Should Have Oscar Nominations by Now – (March 16, 2022)
• Oscars: ‘The Power of the Dog’ Dominates Awards Weekend, But the Answer to Best Picture Lies Within the Screenplay Races – (March 14, 2022)
• All 18 Best Picture Nominees Directed by Women in Oscars History – (March 11, 2022)
• Weekend Warriors: BAFTA, Critics Choice and DGA Awards Bring the Final Contenders Out to Play – (March 10, 2022)
• Could Norway’s ‘The Worst Person in the World’ Pull Off a Historic Upset in International Feature? – (March 9, 2022)
• How Jane Campion’s ‘The Power of the Dog’ Could Shatter Multiple Oscar Records for Women if She Wins – (March 4, 2022)
• Apple Might Be the Surprise Winner in the Streaming Race to Win Best Picture – (March 3, 2022)
• Surprise SAG Win Gives ‘CODA’ an Oscar Boost for Best Picture – (Feb. 27, 2022)
• Why the Oscars’ Best Actress Race Is Completely Up in the Air – (Feb. 25, 2022)
• SAG Awards Final Predictions: Who Will Win and Who Could Win? – (Feb. 24, 2022)
• Big Questions About the New Oscars Format — Is It Such a Terrible Idea? – (Feb. 22, 2022)
• Can ‘Dune’ Tie or Surpass the ‘Cabaret’ 50-Year Oscar Record for Most Wins Without Best Picture? – (Feb. 17, 2022)
• ‘Drive My Car’ Director Ryûsuke Hamaguchi ‘Never Imagined’ He’d Be Going to the Oscars – (Feb. 16, 2022)
• Does Netflix Finally Have the ‘Power’ for the Best Picture Oscar? – (Feb. 10, 2022)
• Academy Creates Chaotic Best Actress Race, Embraces Latinos and Gives Netflix ‘Power’ for Best Picture – (Feb. 8, 2022)
• Kenneth Branagh Becomes First Person Nominated in Seven Oscar Categories – (Feb. 8, 2022)
• Final Oscars Predictions: Lady Gaga, Will Smith and Other A-Listers Expected to Land Noms – (Feb. 3, 2022)
• Pencils Down, Pass Your Oscar Ballots to the Front: 10 Burning Questions Regarding Potential Nominations – (Feb. 1, 2022)
• Oscar Voters Could Be Looking for a Good Mood Film – (Jan. 27, 2022)
• Academy Awards Voting Opens: How I Would Fill Out My Ballot for the 94th Oscars – (Jan. 27, 2022)
• Could Lady Gaga and Kristen Stewart Both Miss Oscar Nominations? Ask Madonna and Courtney Love 25 Years Ago – (Jan. 27, 2022)
• Cate Blanchett and Leonardo DiCaprio Near Oscar Records for Roles in Best Picture Nominees – (Jan. 26, 2022)
• ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home,’ ‘Don’t Look Up’ Aim to Increase Best Picture Chances With Guild Noms – (Jan. 26, 2022)
• Will Japan’s ‘Drive My Car’ Steer Its Way to a Best Picture Nomination? – (Jan. 25, 2022)
• Will the Oscars Make Olivia Colman the Next Two-Time Lead Actress Winner? – (Jan. 24, 2022)
• What I’ve Learned About Filling Out the Oscar Ballot – (Jan. 24, 2022)
• Women Directors Could Set an Oscar Record in Screenplay Categories (and More) – (Jan. 23, 2022)
• Oscars: How Kristen Stewart Could Still Win Best Actress for ‘Spencer’ – (Jan. 20, 2022)
• Losing Sidney Poitier Reminds Us that Only Four Black Men Have Won Best Actor – (Jan. 13, 2022)
• Will Disney Ever Win Best Picture? ‘West Side Story’ Is Another Loophole Chance – (Jan. 6, 2022)
• ‘Encanto’s’ ‘We Don’t Talk About Bruno’ Is Topping the Charts. So Why Didn’t Disney Submit It for Oscars? – (Jan. 6, 2022)
• ‘Don’t Look Up’ or: How Netflix Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Discourse – (Dec. 30, 2021)
• ¡Hola Oscars! Don’t Forget to Consider These Latino Actors and Filmmakers From 2021 – (Dec. 29, 2021)
• Could Kodi Smit-McPhee Become the Second Youngest Supporting Actor Winner for ‘The Power of the Dog’? – (Dec. 27, 2021)
• Can ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Swing Into Best Picture Race After Massive Opening? – (Dec. 23, 2021)
• Oscars Shortlists Include Beyoncé, ‘Spider-Man’ and Two Jonny Greenwood Scores as France’s ‘Titane’ Is Snubbed – (Dec. 21, 2021)
• Final Predictions for 2022 Oscars Shortlists for Visual Effects, Original Song, International Feature and More – (Dec. 16, 2021)
• Oscar’s Penis Problem: Why Does the Academy Ignore Actors Doing Full Frontal? – (Dec. 9, 2021)
• Gotham Awards Give Boosts to ‘The Lost Daughter’ and ‘CODA’ – What Does It Mean for the Academy? – (Dec. 2, 2021)
• Top 5 Ways to Make the Oscars Great Again (Column) – (Nov. 26, 2021)
• How Many Movies Can Oscar and BAFTA Voters Watch Over Thanksgiving? – (Nov. 24, 2021)
• Andrew Garfield and Will Smith Brought Best Actor Race Into Focus at AFI Fest – (Nov. 18, 2021)
• Frances McDormand Could Be the First Person Nominated for Best Picture and Acting Oscars Consecutively – (Nov. 14, 2021)
• Can Halle Berry Be the First Woman to Direct Herself to an Acting Nomination for ‘Bruised’? – (Nov. 14, 2021)
• Will Oscar Voters Say ‘I Love Nicole Kidman’ in Aaron Sorkin’s ‘Being the Ricardos’? – (Nov. 13, 2021)
• Oscars Can Have Two Noteworthy Mahershala Ali Performances for the Price of One with ‘Swan Song’ – (Nov. 12, 2021)
• Will Lady Gaga Have Her Cher Moment at the Oscars? – (Nov. 11, 2021)
• Can Andrew Garfield’s ‘Tick, Tick … Boom!’ Performance Be the First Musical Best Actor Winner in Over 55 Years? – (Nov. 10, 2021)
• Will ‘House of Gucci’ or ‘The Last Duel’ Make Ridley Scott the Oldest Directing Nominee in Oscars History? – (Nov. 10, 2021)
• ‘House of Gucci’: Will Lady Gaga and Jared Leto Snag Their Second Oscars? – (Nov. 9, 2021)
• How ‘Belfast’ and Kenneth Branagh Could Set a New Record at the Oscars – (Nov. 8, 2021)
• Oscar’s Invisible Women of Cinematography: How Female DPs Should Be Front and Center This Awards Season – (Nov. 4, 2021)
• Oscars: ‘Eternals’ Rotten Tomatoes Score Shouldn’t Keep It Out of the Visual Effects Race – (Nov. 4, 2021)
• Can Clifton Collins Jr’s Performance in ‘Jockey’ Break the Oscars Curse for Latino Actors? – (Oct. 28, 2021)
• Can ‘Being the Ricardos’, ‘Nightmare Alley’ and Other Late Releases Still Make an Oscars Impact? – (Oct. 21, 2021)
• Best Actress: Leading Women of Color Not Contending for Oscars – Why? – (Oct. 14, 2021)
• Oscars: These Women Directors Could Be Standouts This Awards Season – (Oct. 7, 2021)
• Denzel Washington, Frances McDormand Bring Joel Coen’s ‘The Tragedy of Macbeth’ to the Oscars Race – (Sept. 30, 2021)
• Oscars 2022: First Blind Predictions Include the Return of Big Studios and Streamers Seeking Gold – (Apr. 29, 2021)

Awards Circuit Podcast Interview Archives

• Denis Villeneuve (“Dune”) – March 18, 2022
• Siân Heder (“CODA”) – March 17, 2022
• Ciarán Hinds (“Belfast”) – March 10, 2022
• Aunjanue Ellis (“King Richard”) – March 3, 2022
• Kodi Smit-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”) – Feb. 25, 2022
• Jessica Chastain (“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”) – Feb. 24, 2022)
• Lin-Manuel Miranda (“Encanto”) – Feb. 17, 2022
• Phil Lord & Chris Miller (“The Mitchells vs. the Machines”) – Feb. 10, 2022
• Cole Hauser (“Yellowstone”) – Feb. 4, 2022
• Mike Mills (“C’mon C’mon”) – Jan. 28, 2022
• Willem Dafoe (“Nightmare Alley” and “Spider-Man: No Way Home”) – Jan. 27, 2022
• Alana Haim (“Licorice Pizza”) – Jan. 21, 2022
• Cate Blanchett (“Don’t Look Up” and “Nightmare Alley”) – Jan. 20, 2022
• Rachel Zegler (“West Side Story”) – Jan. 14, 2022
• Lin-Manuel Miranda (“Tick, Tick … Boom!”) – Jan. 13, 2022
• Ariana DeBose (“West Side Story”) – Jan. 7, 2022
• Halle Berry (“Bruised”) – Jan. 6, 2022
• Penélope Cruz (“Parallel Mothers”) and Tessa Thompson (“Passing”) – Dec. 23, 2021
• Michael Keaton (“Dopesick”) – Dec. 22, 2021
• Andrew Garfield (“Tick, Tick … Boom!”) – Dec. 16, 2021
• Julia Ducournau (“Titane”) – Dec. 10, 2021
• Adam McKay (“Don’t Look Up”) – Dec. 9, 2021
• Sarah Snook and Nicholas Britell (HBO’s “Succession”) – Dec. 8, 2021
• Ron Mael and Russell Mael (“The Sparks Brothers”) – Dec. 3, 2021
• Mahershala Ali (“Swan Song”) – Dec. 2, 2021
• Corey Hawkins (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”) and Tim Blake Nelson (“Old Henry”) – Nov. 25, 2021
• Robin de Jesús (“Tick, Tick … Boom!”) – Nov. 19, 2021
• Kristen Stewart (“Spencer”) – Nov. 18, 2021
• Aunjanue Ellis (“King Richard”) – Nov. 12, 2021
• Jonathan Majors (“The Harder They Fall”) – Nov. 11, 2021
• Jamie Dornan (“Belfast”) – Nov. 5, 2021
• Dakota Johnson (“The Lost Daughter”) – Nov. 4, 2021
• Clifton Collins, Jr. (“Jockey” and “Nightmare Alley”) – Oct. 29, 2021
• Caitríona Balfe (“Belfast”) – Oct. 28, 2021
• Maggie Gyllenhaal (“The Lost Daughter”) and Jake Gyllenhaal (“The Guilty”) – Oct. 22, 2021
• Oscar Isaac (“The Card Counter”) and Jeffrey Wright (“The French Dispatch”) – Oct. 15, 2021
• Ann Dowd (“Mass”) and Joe Wright (“Cyrano”) – Oct. 8, 2021
• Kirsten Dunst (“The Power of the Dog”) and Simon Rex (“Red Rocket”) – Oct. 1, 2021
• Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Courier,” “The Electrical Life of Louis Wain,” “The Power of the Dog” and “Spider-Man: No Way Home”)

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

• The 94th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022, on ABC
• Visit the 2021 Oscar prediction archive.

About the SAG Awards

The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most essential indicators for the Oscars. For example, four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Likewise, three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”

• 28th Screen Actors Guild Awards televised live on TNT and TBS at 5 pm pst / 8 pm est

About the BAFTA Awards

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts, or BAFTA, is an independent charity that supports, develops and promotes the art forms of the moving image – particularly film, television and games – in the United Kingdom. The group is also an international program of learning events and initiatives offering access to talent through workshops, masterclasses, scholarships, lectures and mentoring in the U.K. and the United States.

• The BAFTA Film Awards ceremony will take place on Sunday, Mar. 2, 2022.